Boreham Wood vs Altrincham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadow Park
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.39
Draw
5.41
Away Win
6.45
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Boreham Wood
Altrincham
26'
⚽ J. Knowles (M. Kosylo)
40'
🟨 O. Khan
T. White 🟨
45+4'
C. Bush 🟨
51'
55'
🟨 J. Cooper
C. Bush ⚽
56'
68'
🟨 M. Kosylo
B. Whitfield (Z. Brunt) ⚽
73'
D. Cashman ⚽
89'
M. Marshall-Miranda 🟨
90+2'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Boreham Wood edge recent form, Altrincham edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Altrincham have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Boreham Wood remain unbeaten at home with four victories and a solitary draw in the same number of fixtures. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Boreham Wood rate stronger on form, while Altrincham rate stronger on head-to-head. Altrincham won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 24 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Boreham Wood's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Boreham Wood's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Altrincham's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Boreham Wood unbeaten run
13
Boreham Wood points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Altrincham
Altrincham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Altrincham win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Boreham Wood remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 67.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
68.8% → 67.7%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.4% → 18.2%
−0.2 pts
Altrincham win
Latest market chance 14.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
12.8% → 14.1%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boreham Wood
Draw
Altrincham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boreham WoodAltrincham
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
4th
11
Games Played
11
2.64
Points/Game
1.91
2.64
Goals/Game
1.45
1.09
Conceded/Game
1.36
10.9
Shots/Game
6.7
5.7
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Boreham Wood at home (6 matches) vs Altrincham away (7 matches)
2.67
Points/Game
1.29
2.83
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.71
83%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boreham Wood
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Altrincham
Away form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boreham Wood Wins
2
Draws
1
Altrincham Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Altrincham3 – 1Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood3 – 1Altrincham
Boreham Wood0 – 1Altrincham
Altrincham1 – 1Boreham Wood
Altrincham0 – 2Boreham Wood
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boreham Woodvs
Altrincham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.3%→Latest 68.6%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 60.1%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?