Boston Utd vs Southend Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Jakemans Community Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.72
Draw
3.84
Away Win
1.85
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger in recent form; Boston Utd edge head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Southend have shown resilience away from home with two wins and three draws from their last five outings, while Boston Utd have struggled at the club's ground with just one win, one draw, and three losses in that same span. Boston Utd have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Southend rate stronger on form, while Boston Utd hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.25 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 25.6%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 24.1%
+0.2 pts
Southend win
Latest market chance 50.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.9% → 50.3%
−0.6 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boston UtdSouthend

Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
3rd
12
Games Played
12
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.17
Goals/Game
2.42
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.3
Shots/Game
11.4
6.0
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Boston Utd at home (6 matches) vs Southend away (6 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.00
0.83
Goals/Game
2.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
17%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Boston Utd
Home form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Southend
Away form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boston Utd Wins
1
Draws
2
Southend Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Boston Utd3 – 3Southend
Southend1 – 1Boston Utd
Boston Utd3 – 0Southend
Southend2 – 0Boston Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boston Utdvs
Southend

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 60.5%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 61.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?