Boston Utd vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Jakemans Community Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.15
Draw
3.68
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Boston Utd
Wealdstone
J. Grimes (G. Holohan) ⚽
12'
27'
⚽ D. Kadji (K. Smith)
L. N. John-Lewis (L. N. John-Lewis) •
49'
52'
🟨 D. Kadji
62'
🟨 J. Wells-Morrison
65'
⚽ O. Olomola (J. J. Harris)
66'
⚽ J. Mundle-Smith (J. Wells-Morrison)
G. Holohan 🟨
66'
T. Cursons 🟨
71'
72'
🟨 K. Smith
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boston Utd stronger
Boston Utd rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boston Utd stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boston Utd stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Boston Utd have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Wealdstone have managed just a single win and one draw across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, yet they have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Boston Utd rate stronger on form and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 14 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Boston Utd stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Boston Utd
Boston Utd's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boston Utd win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 44.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
46.0% → 44.2%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 26.3%
+0.6 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 29.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.3% → 29.5%
+1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boston Utd
Draw
Wealdstone
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Boston UtdWealdstone
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
20th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.83
1.33
Goals/Game
1.17
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.83
10.3
Shots/Game
7.9
6.0
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Boston Utd at home (6 matches) vs Wealdstone away (7 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.14
0.83
Goals/Game
1.43
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.29
17%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boston Utd
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wealdstone
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boston Utd Wins
2
Draws
1
Wealdstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Wealdstone1 – 1Boston Utd
Boston Utd2 – 1Wealdstone
Boston Utd2 – 0Wealdstone
Wealdstone1 – 0Boston Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boston Utdvs
Wealdstone
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 56.4%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 59.7%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Boston Utd's 10 matches and 4 of Wealdstone's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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