Carlisle vs Forest Green Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Brunton Park
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
3.89
Away Win
3.29
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Carlisle
Forest Green
8'
⚽ K. Kelly (J. Clarke)
14'
🟨 K. Abrefa
B. Nicholson 🟨
27'
M. Obiero ⚽
29'
T. Jenks 🟨
43'
67'
🟨 F. Sass
M. Feeney 🟨
85'
90+2'
🟨 O. Ewing
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carlisle edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Forest Green have recorded two away victories in their last five outings across seasons, while Carlisle have secured two home wins alongside a single draw in their own recent five matches. Carlisle have found the net in all five of their home fixtures to date, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Carlisle rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Carlisle won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Forest Green's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Forest Green losing run
50%
Carlisle yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.9% → 46.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 25.3%
+0.4 pts
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.5%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Carlisle
Draw
Forest Green
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarlisleForest Green
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
1.71
2.14
Goals/Game
1.57
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.43
12.2
Shots/Game
9.8
6.3
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Carlisle at home (6 matches) vs Forest Green away (5 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.60
2.50
Goals/Game
1.40
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.40
33%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carlisle
Home form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Forest Green
Away form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carlisle Wins
2
Draws
0
Forest Green Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.6
Forest Green1 – 3Carlisle
Carlisle4 – 2Forest Green
Forest Green3 – 0Carlisle
Carlisle0 – 2Forest Green
Carlisle1 – 2Forest Green
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carlislevs
Forest Green
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 61.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.8%→Latest 63.6%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Carlisle's 10 matches and 3 of Forest Green's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?