Carlisle vs Kidderminster Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Brunton Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.16
Away Win
4.99
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carlisle edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Kidderminster have secured two victories and a draw from their last five away outings, while Carlisle have recorded two wins and two draws in that same span at home. Carlisle have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Carlisle rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2004. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 58.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.9% → 58.6%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.4% → 22.3%
−0.1 pts
Kidderminster win
Latest market chance 19.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.8% → 19.2%
+0.4 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarlisleKidderminster
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
8th
12
Games Played
12
1.33
Points/Game
1.58
1.92
Goals/Game
1.25
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.2
Shots/Game
6.7
6.3
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Carlisle at home (6 matches) vs Kidderminster away (5 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.40
2.50
Goals/Game
1.60
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.60
33%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carlisle
Home form
W
W
D
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kidderminster
Away form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carlisle Wins
2
Draws
2
Kidderminster Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Carlisle1 – 0Kidderminster
Kidderminster2 – 1Carlisle
Carlisle2 – 2Kidderminster
Kidderminster1 – 2Carlisle
Kidderminster2 – 2Carlisle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carlislevs
Kidderminster
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 59.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?