Carlisle vs Scunthorpe Head to Head, Prediction
Brunton Park
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.73
Draw
3.94
Away Win
4.39
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
M. Azeez (H. Bunker) ⚽
7'
28'
⚽ J. Richards (B. Horton)
R. Linney (A. Desbois) ⚽
33'
36'
🟨 J. Richards
J. Williams (G. Kelly) ⚽
38'
R. Linney 🟨
52'
57'
🟨 J. Gale
64'
🟨 W. Evans
J. Luamba (L. Duru) ⚽
68'
84'
⚽ R. Barrows
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Carlisle stronger
Carlisle rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Carlisle stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 54.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.1% → 54.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.2%
+0.1 pts
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 21.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.7%
−0.1 pts
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarlisleScunthorpe
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
4
Games Played
4
1.25
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.2
Shots/Game
7.6
6.3
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Carlisle at home (6 matches) vs Scunthorpe away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.00
2.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carlisle
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Scunthorpe
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carlisle Wins
4
Draws
1
Scunthorpe Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
Carlisle3 – 2Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe0 – 1Carlisle
Scunthorpe0 – 1Carlisle
Carlisle2 – 2Scunthorpe
Carlisle2 – 0Scunthorpe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carlislevs
Scunthorpe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 57.6%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Carlisle's 10 matches and 6 of Scunthorpe's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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