Carlisle vs Woking Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Brunton Park
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
4.18
Away Win
4.71
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 5
Match Events ?
Carlisle
Woking
7'
⚽ S. Ogie (J. Putman)
C. Okoli ⚽ (OG)
9'
M. Azeez 🟨
38'
47'
⚽ M. Ward
54'
🟨 M. Ward
56'
⚽ J. Marquis (R. Syla)
A. Desbois 🟨
69'
69'
⚽ (P) J. Marquis
C. Harper 🟨
79'
81'
⚽ (P) J. Marquis
R. Linney (C. Harper) ⚽
83'
88'
🟨 S. Ogie
R. Linney 🟨
90'
90+2'
🟨 C. Okoli
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carlisle edge recent form, Woking edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Carlisle stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Woking slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Carlisle have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Woking have managed just a solitary win across their last five away fixtures spanning multiple campaigns. Carlisle have found the net in all of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same recent period. Carlisle rate stronger on form, while Woking hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Woking won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 10 December 2025, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Carlisle's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carlisle win
Latest market chance 56.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
56.5% → 56.9%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.1% → 22.9%
−0.2 pts
Woking win
Latest market chance 20.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.4% → 20.2%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Carlisle
Draw
Woking
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarlisleWoking
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
18th
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
1.00
1.78
Goals/Game
1.11
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.2
Shots/Game
9.4
6.3
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Carlisle at home (6 matches) vs Woking away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.17
2.50
Goals/Game
1.50
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carlisle
Home form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Woking
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Carlisle Wins
1
Draws
0
Woking Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Carlisle1 – 3Woking
Woking0 – 2Carlisle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carlislevs
Woking
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 59.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.9%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Carlisle's 10 matches and 1 of Woking's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?