Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Silverlake Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.15
Draw
4.38
Away Win
1.56
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
A. Blair 🟨
40'
H. Sidwell 🟨
66'
67'
⚽ C. O'Connell (R. Booty)
T. Eweka ⚽
84'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boreham Wood stronger
Boreham Wood rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Boreham Wood arrive with an impressive run of five consecutive away victories, while Eastleigh have remained unbeaten at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings. Eastleigh have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Boreham Wood rate stronger on form and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger overall.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boreham Wood win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 18.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
16.3% → 18.0%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.8% → 21.7%
+0.9 pts
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 60.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
62.9% → 60.3%
−2.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eastleigh
Draw
Boreham Wood
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
1st
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
2.67
1.33
Goals/Game
2.67
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.33
6.3
Shots/Game
10.9
2.8
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Eastleigh at home (7 matches) vs Boreham Wood away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.67
1.43
Goals/Game
2.50
1.29
Conceded/Game
0.83
43%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eastleigh
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Boreham Wood
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eastleigh Wins
1
Draws
3
Boreham Wood Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-02-142025-2026
Eastleigh2 – 2Boreham Wood
2025-10-182025-2026
Boreham Wood2 – 0Eastleigh
2024-01-242023-2024
Boreham Wood4 – 4Eastleigh
2023-11-212023-2024
Eastleigh2 – 1Boreham Wood
2023-03-252022-2023
Boreham Wood0 – 0Eastleigh
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eastleigh
vs
Boreham Wood
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
61.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
41.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.4%→Latest 61.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Eastleigh's 10 matches and 4 of Boreham Wood's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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