Eastleigh vs Southend Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Silverlake Stadium
Wed 30 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.03
Draw
4.08
Away Win
1.79
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Eastleigh
Southend
24'
⚽ P. Omochere (R. Colclough)
J. Lundstram 🟨
32'
T. Dobson-Ventura 🟨
44'
58'
🟨 V. Daley-Campbell
T. Eweka ⚽
90+1'
90+4'
🟨 A. Hartigan
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Southend have secured three wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Eastleigh remain unbeaten at home with identical figures in their recent five matches. Eastleigh have scored in all of their last five home games but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Southend rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Southend won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 20 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Eastleigh's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.2% → 23.4%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 23.8%
−0.3 pts
Southend win
Latest market chance 52.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.6% → 52.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eastleigh
Draw
Southend
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EastleighSouthend
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
1.40
Points/Game
2.00
1.20
Goals/Game
2.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
6.3
Shots/Game
11.4
2.8
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Eastleigh at home (7 matches) vs Southend away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.00
1.43
Goals/Game
2.67
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.17
43%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eastleigh
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Southend
Away form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eastleigh Wins
1
Draws
0
Southend Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Southend4 – 1Eastleigh
Eastleigh2 – 1Southend
Eastleigh1 – 2Southend
Southend2 – 0Eastleigh
Eastleigh0 – 1Southend
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eastleighvs
Southend
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 60.1%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 60.0%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?