Forest Green vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
The New Lawn
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.47
Draw
4.76
Away Win
5.82
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Forest Green
Gateshead
11'
🟨 A. Lankshear
30'
🟨 L. Supyk
33'
🟨 J. Robinson
K. McAllister (R. Rees) ⚽
43'
K. Abrefa 🟨
45+1'
R. Rees (K. McAllister) ⚽
66'
J. Clarke (N. Haughton) ⚽
69'
T. Campbell 🟨
74'
O. Ewing 🟨
84'
O. Ewing (G. Kircough) ⚽
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Forest Green stronger
Forest Green rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Forest Green boast three victories in that same span at home. Forest Green have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have kept a clean sheet in only one of that same period. Forest Green rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Forest Green won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 28 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Gateshead's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Forest Green losing run
46%
Forest Green yellow cards after 75'
3
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 63.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
63.9% → 63.5%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.3% → 20.6%
+0.3 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 15.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.8% → 15.9%
+0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forest Green
Draw
Gateshead
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Forest Green
Gateshead
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
22nd
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
0.67
1.17
Goals/Game
0.83
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
9.8
Shots/Game
6.1
4.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Forest Green at home (6 matches) vs Gateshead away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
0.00
1.67
Goals/Game
0.33
1.83
Conceded/Game
2.67
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forest Green
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forest Green Wins
3
Draws
0
Gateshead Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-02-282025-2026
Gateshead0 – 2Forest Green
2025-11-152025-2026
Forest Green3 – 1Gateshead
2025-04-122024-2025
Forest Green2 – 3Gateshead
2024-09-212024-2025
Gateshead0 – 2Forest Green
2017-02-182016-2017
Gateshead3 – 1Forest Green
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forest Green
vs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 62.8%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Forest Green's 10 matches and 4 of Gateshead's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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