Gateshead vs Worthing Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gateshead International Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.36
Draw
5.57
Away Win
1.35
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Gateshead
Worthing
19'
⚽ J. Wadham (J. Young)
A. McCalmont 🟨
27'
J. Hiwula (F. Issaka) ⚽
29'
T. Lavery 🟨
51'
J. Fenton 🟨
67'
71'
⚽ (OG) A. Lankshear
M. Spellman 🟨
79'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Worthing have shown resilience away from home with two wins and two draws in their last five outings, whereas Gateshead struggle at the ground having suffered three defeats in that same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Worthing rate stronger on form. Over the 6-day comparison window, Gateshead's implied win probability has fallen by 8.9 percentage points, while Worthing's implied win probability has risen by 14.0 percentage points.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Worthing
Worthing's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Worthing win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 13.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
22.1% → 13.2%
−8.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.1% → 18.0%
−5.1 pts
Worthing win
Latest market chance 68.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.8% → 68.8%
+14.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gateshead
Draw
Worthing
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GatesheadWorthing
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
8th
11
Games Played
11
0.36
Points/Game
1.64
0.55
Goals/Game
1.82
2.27
Conceded/Game
1.55
6.1
Shots/Game
10.1
3.2
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Gateshead at home (6 matches) vs Worthing away (6 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.83
0.83
Goals/Game
2.17
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.67
17%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gateshead
Home form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Worthing
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Worthing.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gatesheadvs
Worthing
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
6/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 64.2%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 55.7%−5.8 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?