Halifax vs Hornchurch Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
The Shay
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.58
Away Win
3.24
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Halifax
Hornchurch
C. Douglas (Z. Gilsenan) ⚽
45'
B. Tollitt (C. Douglas) ⚽
64'
75'
🟨 M. Bracking
T. Trusty (C. Johnson) ⚽
86'
C. Allen 🟨
90+4'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Hornchurch have secured two victories from their last three away outings on the current season, while Halifax have recorded two wins and a draw from five home matches spanning multiple campaigns. Halifax have found the net in five consecutive home fixtures but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Hornchurch rate stronger on form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Halifax win
Latest market chance 44.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.9% → 44.4%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.4%
±0.0 pts
Hornchurch win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 29.2%
+0.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Halifax
Draw
Hornchurch
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Halifax
Hornchurch
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
9.7
Shots/Game
8.3
5.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Halifax at home (6 matches) vs Hornchurch away (7 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.86
1.83
Goals/Game
0.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.43
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Halifax
Home form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Hornchurch
Away form
W
L
W
Won 2 of last 3 away
Limited history — only 3 away fixtures on record for Hornchurch.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.33
Goals conceded
per match
3/3
Scored in
last 3
0/3
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Halifax and Hornchurch.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Halifax
vs
Hornchurch
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.67
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.33
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/6
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/6
2/10
Failed to Score
1/6
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 53.8%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 57.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Hornchurch have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Halifax's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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