Harrogate vs Fylde Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Exercise Stadium
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.76
Away Win
3.30
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Harrogate
Fylde
32'
🟨 M. Matthews Lewis
M. Williams 🟨
36'
61'
🟨 C. Whelan
79'
⚽ C. Whelan (D. Mayor)
84'
⚽ L. Thomas (M. Matthews Lewis)
E. Taylor (S. McCoulsky) ⚽
87'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Harrogate edge recent form, Fylde edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fylde stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Fylde have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Harrogate remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws in the same span. Harrogate have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Harrogate rate stronger on form, while Fylde rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.9% → 46.1%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.2%
−0.1 pts
Fylde win
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 28.7%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Harrogate
Draw
Fylde
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HarrogateFylde
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
2.00
2.57
Goals/Game
2.43
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.43
12.3
Shots/Game
8.0
7.3
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Harrogate at home (7 matches) vs Fylde away (7 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
2.14
2.86
Goals/Game
2.14
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.43
71%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Harrogate
Home form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fylde
Away form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Harrogate Wins
0
Draws
2
Fylde Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.0
Fylde0 – 0Harrogate
Harrogate1 – 2Fylde
Fylde0 – 0Harrogate
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Harrogatevs
Fylde
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 62.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.9%→Latest 63.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Harrogate's 10 matches and 3 of Fylde's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?