Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hornchurch Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.54
Away Win
2.74
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Hornchurch
Scunthorpe
61'
🟨 S. Ashbee
R. Inniss (T. Dallison) ⚽
70'
82'
🟨 J. Butterfield
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Scunthorpe have managed just a solitary win from their last five away outings, whereas Hornchurch look more comfortable at home with two victories in their three most recent fixtures. Hornchurch have scored in two of their last three matches while also keeping two clean sheets during that same home period. Hornchurch rate stronger on form. Over the 3-day comparison window, Hornchurch's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Scunthorpe's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Scunthorpe win as less likely than it did 3 days ago. Hornchurch remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hornchurch win
Latest market chance 38.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
37.0% → 38.2%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.9%
+0.4 pts
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.5% → 34.9%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hornchurch
Draw
Scunthorpe
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HornchurchScunthorpe
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
20th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
0.88
1.25
Goals/Game
1.38
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
8.3
Shots/Game
7.6
4.2
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Hornchurch at home (5 matches) vs Scunthorpe away (6 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.50
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
80%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hornchurch
Home form
W
W
L
Won 2 of last 3 at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for Hornchurch.
1.33
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.33
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
2/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Scunthorpe
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Hornchurch and Scunthorpe.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hornchurchvs
Scunthorpe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.25
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/8
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/8
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/8
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 55.5%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.4%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Hornchurch have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Scunthorpe's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?