Kidderminster vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Aggborough Stadium
Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
4.04
Away Win
4.93
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Kidderminster
Gateshead
4'
🟨 K. Ferguson
C. Dolan (L. Walker) ⚽
27'
39'
🟨 A. Boatswain
M. Brogan 🟨
45+2'
B. Crompton 🟨
48'
Z. Brown 🟨
55'
R. Devine 🟨
68'
C. Harries 🟨
80'
89'
🟨 J. Home
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kidderminster edge recent form, Gateshead edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kidderminster stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gateshead stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead arrive at this National League fixture with a worrying run of five successive defeats on their travels, whereas Kidderminster have secured two victories and two draws from their last five outings at home. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, though they have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent period. Kidderminster rate stronger on form, while Gateshead rate stronger on head-to-head. Gateshead won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 20 February 2024, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Kidderminster's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Kidderminster's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Gateshead's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Gateshead losing run
0
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Kidderminster
Kidderminster's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Kidderminster win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kidderminster win
Latest market chance 57.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
55.1% → 57.1%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.0%
−0.5 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 18.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.4% → 18.9%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kidderminster
Draw
Gateshead
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KidderminsterGateshead
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
23rd
7
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
0.57
1.71
Goals/Game
0.71
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.86
6.7
Shots/Game
6.1
3.1
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Kidderminster at home (7 matches) vs Gateshead away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.33
0.57
Conceded/Game
2.67
43%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kidderminster
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kidderminster Wins
0
Draws
1
Gateshead Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.0
Kidderminster0 – 2Gateshead
Gateshead3 – 0Kidderminster
Kidderminster0 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead1 – 1Kidderminster
Gateshead2 – 0Kidderminster
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kidderminstervs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.4%→Latest 53.7%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 53.8%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Kidderminster's 10 matches and 3 of Gateshead's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?