Scunthorpe vs Harrogate Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Attis Arena
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.07
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Scunthorpe
Harrogate
W. Evans 🟨
5'
14'
⚽ W. McGowan (L. Cass)
J. Rowley 🟨
43'
A. Beestin 🟨
45'
49'
🟨 A. Baptiste
51'
⚽ S. McCoulsky
58'
🟨 W. Burrell
Starting Lineups
Scunthorpe
L. Jones
R. Barrows
J. Belehouan
W. Evans
B. Horton
J. Rowley
A. Beestin
T. Sellars-Fleming
J. Butterfield
P. Jones
D. Whitehall
Harrogate
R. Watson
W. Burrell
S. Dreyer
A. Baptiste
S. McCoulsky
L. Cass
M. Williams
B. Hobson
E. Bristow
W. McGowan
J. Hmami
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Harrogate stronger
Harrogate rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Harrogate stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Scunthorpe win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 42.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
44.2% → 42.9%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.7%
+0.6 pts
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 30.5%
+0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Scunthorpe
Draw
Harrogate
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Scunthorpe
Harrogate
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
5th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
2.00
1.60
Goals/Game
2.60
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.80
7.6
Shots/Game
12.3
3.8
Shots on Target
7.3
Home vs Away Context
Scunthorpe at home (5 matches) vs Harrogate away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.80
1.80
Goals/Game
1.60
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
40%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Scunthorpe
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Harrogate
Away form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Scunthorpe Wins
2
Draws
0
Harrogate Wins
2
Avg Goals
5.2
2022-03-262021-2022
Scunthorpe0 – 3Harrogate
2021-10-092021-2022
Harrogate6 – 1Scunthorpe
2021-02-202020-2021
Scunthorpe3 – 1Harrogate
2020-12-012020-2021
Harrogate2 – 5Scunthorpe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Scunthorpe
vs
Harrogate
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 55.7%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 59.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Scunthorpe's 10 matches and 5 of Harrogate's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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