Southend vs Barrow Head to Head | National League

Match Report

Full Time

2 – 4

Match Events

Southend

Barrow

14'

🟨 G. Walker

22'

🟨 I. Marriott

P. Omochere 🟨

31'

B. Goodliffe 🟨

41'

52'

⚽ R. Harper (P. Kalambayi)

D. Oldaker 🟨

54'

66'

⚽ S. Thompson (A. Reid)

R. Colclough ⚽ (P)

75'

84'

⚽ (OG) D. Oldaker

L. Chambers-Parillon ⚽

90+2'

90+4'

⚽ D. Mooney (I. Marriott)

90+8'

🟨 A. Allen

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Statistical Comparison

Southend stronger

Southend rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.

Leads 2 of 2 major categories

How They Compare

Recent Form

Southend stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Southend stronger

HomeAway

Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.

Match Analysis

Southend have secured four victories from their last five outings at home, while Barrow remain winless away in that same span with three draws and two defeats. Southend have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Southend rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 6-day comparison window, Southend's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Barrow's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift away from Southend

Southend's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Southend win

Latest market chance 55.2%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

56.9% → 55.2%

−1.7 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.6%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.4% → 23.6%

+0.2 pts

Barrow win

Latest market chance 21.2%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

19.7% → 21.2%

+1.5 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Southend

Draw

Barrow

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Southend

Barrow

Season Profile

This season

2nd

League Position

17th

Games Played

2.22

Points/Game

1.00

2.56

Goals/Game

1.22

1.33

Conceded/Game

1.33

11.4

Shots/Game

8.9

6.6

Shots on Target

4.9

Home vs Away Context

Southend at home (6 matches) vs Barrow away (6 matches)

2.00

Points/Game

1.00

2.17

Goals/Game

1.50

1.83

Conceded/Game

1.67

67%

Win Rate

17%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Southend

Home form

Won 4 of last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Barrow

Away form

Winless in last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Southend Wins

Draws

Barrow Wins

Avg Goals

2.0

2021-05-012020-2021

Barrow1 – 2Southend

2021-01-092020-2021

Southend1 – 0Barrow

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Southend

Barrow

Recent Scoring Profile

2.30

Goals scored / game

1.10

1.30

Goals conceded / game

1.40

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

5/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

1/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

80.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

58.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

38.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

58.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 56.6%→Latest 58.7%+2.1 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 55.9%→Latest 58.1%+2.2 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

1 of Southend's 10 matches and 1 of Barrow's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Southend vs Barrow Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis