Southend vs Yeovil Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Roots Hall
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.57
Draw
4.00
Away Win
5.34
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Southend
Yeovil
25'
⚽ A. Davies (Z. Westbrooke)
H. Taylor 🟨
45+1'
58'
⚽ L. McCormick (R. Jones)
61'
🟨 Z. Westbrooke
D. Oldaker ⚽
66'
D. Cox 🟨
73'
L. Chambers-Parillon (P. Omochere) ⚽
79'
P. Omochere (K. McAdam) ⚽
85'
P. Omochere 🟨
90+2'
Starting Lineups
Southend
J. Duncan
V. Daley-Campbell
H. Taylor
D. Cox
K. McAdam
D. Oldaker
L. Twamley
O. Coker
L. Chambers-Parillon
H. Cardwell
R. Colclough
Yeovil
J. Barker
A. Davies
J. Mukena
J. Gubbins
J. Norville-Williams
R. Jones
Z. Westbrooke
B. McGavin
L. McCormick
M. Obeng
S. Spasov
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Southend
Southend's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Southend win
Latest market chance 58.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
56.9% → 58.6%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 23.5%
−0.6 pts
Yeovil win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.1% → 17.8%
−1.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+2+10−1Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Southend
Draw
Yeovil
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Southend
Yeovil
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
2.20
1.80
Goals/Game
2.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.4
Shots/Game
8.4
6.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Southend at home (6 matches) vs Yeovil away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.60
2.17
Goals/Game
1.40
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.20
67%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Southend
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Yeovil
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Southend Wins
3
Draws
1
Yeovil Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-03-312025-2026
Southend2 – 1Yeovil
2025-11-152025-2026
Yeovil0 – 1Southend
2025-03-012024-2025
Yeovil2 – 2Southend
2024-11-092024-2025
Southend0 – 1Yeovil
2023-04-012022-2023
Yeovil0 – 2Southend
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Southend
vs
Yeovil
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.7%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 52.2%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Southend's 10 matches and 5 of Yeovil's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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