Sutton vs Boreham Wood Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

VBS Community Stadium
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.26
Draw
3.74
Away Win
1.76
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Boreham Wood stronger
Boreham Wood rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boreham Wood stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Boreham Wood have enjoyed an impressive run away from home with four wins and a draw in their last five outings, while Sutton have been less consistent domestically with two victories, one draw and two defeats in the same span. Sutton have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Boreham Wood rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Boreham Wood won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sutton's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Boreham Wood stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Boreham Wood unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Boreham Wood points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 22.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.9%
±0.0 pts
Boreham Wood win
Latest market chance 53.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.2% → 53.2%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sutton
Boreham Wood
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
1st
12
Games Played
12
1.50
Points/Game
2.67
1.17
Goals/Game
2.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.08
6.2
Shots/Game
10.9
3.0
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (6 matches) vs Boreham Wood away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
2.67
1.33
Goals/Game
2.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.83
50%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Boreham Wood
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
2
Draws
1
Boreham Wood Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-04-252025-2026
Boreham Wood1 – 0Sutton
2025-09-032025-2026
Sutton3 – 4Boreham Wood
2021-04-022020-2021
Boreham Wood0 – 0Sutton
2021-02-132020-2021
Sutton2 – 0Boreham Wood
2019-08-172019-2020
Boreham Wood0 – 1Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sutton
vs
Boreham Wood
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 59.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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