Sutton vs Eastleigh Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VBS Community Stadium
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.39
Away Win
3.65
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Sutton
Eastleigh
E. Osadebe (T. Babalola) ⚽
17'
B. Njoku ⚽
22'
J. Knight 🟨
41'
E. Osadebe 🟨
42'
42'
🟨 J. Cousins
45+2'
🟨 H. Sidwell
57'
⚽ H. Ghandour (A. Blair)
W. Nightingale 🟨
63'
90+2'
🟨 N. Akoto
E. Osadebe (E. Osadebe) •
90+2'
90+3'
🟨 T. Eweka
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sutton edge head-to-head, Eastleigh edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eastleigh stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Eastleigh have secured two wins from their last five away outings, whereas Sutton have also managed two victories in their last five home fixtures. At home, Sutton have found the net in three of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet from that same run. Eastleigh rate stronger on form, while Sutton rate stronger on head-to-head. Sutton won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 24 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Eastleigh's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sutton unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 46.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.4% → 46.2%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Eastleigh win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.2%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sutton
Draw
Eastleigh
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SuttonEastleigh
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
11th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
1.57
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.14
6.2
Shots/Game
6.3
3.0
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (6 matches) vs Eastleigh away (5 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.60
1.33
Goals/Game
0.80
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Eastleigh
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
3
Draws
1
Eastleigh Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Eastleigh0 – 2Sutton
Sutton2 – 1Eastleigh
Sutton1 – 0Eastleigh
Eastleigh1 – 1Sutton
Eastleigh1 – 0Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Suttonvs
Eastleigh
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 50.5%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.2%→Latest 54.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Sutton's 10 matches and 3 of Eastleigh's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?