Sutton vs Scunthorpe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VBS Community Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.68
Away Win
3.10
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Sutton
Scunthorpe
39'
⚽ K. Hurst (B. Horton)
44'
🟨 D. Whitehall
E. Osadebe 🟨
61'
62'
🟨 B. Horton
D. Urpens 🟨
66'
69'
⚽ T. Sellars-Fleming (D. Whitehall)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Sutton stronger
Sutton rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Sutton stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Scunthorpe have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw from their last five away outings, while Sutton have managed two victories in five home fixtures over the same span. At this venue, Sutton have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Sutton rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Sutton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Scunthorpe's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.75 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Sutton stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sutton unbeaten run
1
Scunthorpe points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sutton
Sutton's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sutton win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 42.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
40.5% → 42.7%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.3%
−0.6 pts
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 31.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.6% → 31.0%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sutton
Draw
Scunthorpe
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SuttonScunthorpe
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
21st
6
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
0.67
1.17
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
6.2
Shots/Game
7.6
3.0
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (6 matches) vs Scunthorpe away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.50
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Scunthorpe
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
2
Draws
1
Scunthorpe Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
Scunthorpe1 – 2Sutton
Sutton2 – 3Scunthorpe
Sutton4 – 1Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe1 – 1Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Suttonvs
Scunthorpe
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 58.2%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 61.5%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Sutton's 10 matches and 4 of Scunthorpe's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?