Sutton vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
VBS Community Stadium
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.94
Draw
3.83
Away Win
3.56
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Sutton
Wealdstone
12'
⚽ M. Obiero
J. Taylor 🟨
45+3'
C. Bell 🟨
56'
O. Mussa 🟨
64'
67'
⚽ (P) M. Obiero
A. Kirk 🟨
88'
89'
🟨 L. Norris
89'
🟨 M. Obiero
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Sutton stronger
Sutton rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Sutton stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sutton stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 48.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.2% → 48.8%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.4%
+0.1 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 25.9%
−0.6 pts
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sutton
Wealdstone
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
22nd
4
Games Played
4
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
6.2
Shots/Game
7.9
3.0
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (6 matches) vs Wealdstone away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.14
1.33
Goals/Game
1.43
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.29
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Wealdstone
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
3
Draws
1
Wealdstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-02-212025-2026
Sutton3 – 0Wealdstone
2025-10-252025-2026
Wealdstone4 – 2Sutton
2025-01-152024-2025
Sutton2 – 2Wealdstone
2024-08-202024-2025
Wealdstone0 – 1Sutton
2021-02-202020-2021
Sutton4 – 1Wealdstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sutton
vs
Wealdstone
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.9%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 56.5%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
9 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Sutton's 10 matches and 6 of Wealdstone's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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