Worthing vs Barrow Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.69
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.55
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Worthing
Barrow
17'
🟨 D. Amos
20'
⚽ M. Lane
38'
🟨 I. Marriott
45+3'
⚽ M. Lane
45+5'
🟨 M. Williams
D. Hutchinson (C. Kendall) ⚽
50'
R. Aguiar 🟨
58'
D. Hutchinson (C. Kendall) ⚽
61'
70'
🟨 K. Digie
76'
🟨 P. Kalambayi
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Barrow arrive at this National League fixture having recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Worthing have won just one of their last three home matches. Worthing have found the net in each of their last three home games but have kept only a single clean sheet during that same short run. Barrow hold a slight advantage in form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Barrow remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Worthing win
Latest market chance 35.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.2% → 35.3%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.2% → 27.3%
−0.9 pts
Barrow win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
36.6% → 37.4%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Worthing
Draw
Barrow
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WorthingBarrow
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
18th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.83
1.83
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.1
Shots/Game
8.9
6.0
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Worthing at home (6 matches) vs Barrow away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
50%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Worthing
Home form
L
W
L
Lost 2 of last 3 at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for Worthing.
1.33
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.67
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
1/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barrow
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Barrow.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Worthingvs
Barrow
Recent Scoring Profile
1.83
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/6
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/6
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/6
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 56.4%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 60.6%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Worthing have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Barrow's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?