Worthing vs Hornchurch Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.16
Draw
3.74
Away Win
3.06
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Worthing
Hornchurch
R. Aguiar (C. Kendall) ⚽
6'
45'
🟨 H. Sandat
50'
🟨 A. Rowe
R. Aguiar 🟨
58'
89'
🟨 J. Kizzi
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Hornchurch have secured two victories in their last four away outings, while Worthing have managed just one win and a draw from their last four home matches. Worthing have scored in each of their last four home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same run. Hornchurch rate stronger on form. Over the 2-day comparison window, Worthing's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Hornchurch's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Worthing
Worthing's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Worthing win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Worthing win
Latest market chance 43.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
42.0% → 43.0%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 25.7%
−0.3 pts
Hornchurch win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.0% → 31.3%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Worthing
Draw
Hornchurch
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WorthingHornchurch
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.71
1.86
Goals/Game
1.43
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.57
10.1
Shots/Game
8.3
6.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Worthing at home (6 matches) vs Hornchurch away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.86
1.50
Goals/Game
0.86
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.43
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Worthing
Home form
L
W
L
D
Lost 2 of last 4 at home
Limited history — only 4 home fixtures on record for Worthing.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.75
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
1/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hornchurch
Away form
W
L
W
L
Won 2 of last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Hornchurch.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
0/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Hornchurch.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Worthingvs
Hornchurch
Recent Scoring Profile
1.86
Goals scored / game
1.43
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.57
6/7
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/7
6/7
Both Teams Scored
3/7
0/7
Failed to Score
2/7
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 59.8%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 62.5%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Worthing have only 7 completed fixtures on record.
Hornchurch have only 7 completed fixtures on record.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?