Yeovil vs Worthing Head to Head | National League

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 1

Match Events

Yeovil

Worthing

28'

⚽ R. Coleman De-Graft

J. Norville-Williams 🟨

44'

J. Cook ⚽ (OG)

47'

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Match Analysis

Worthing have secured two victories and a draw from their last four away fixtures, while Yeovil boast three wins alongside a single draw in five home outings. Yeovil have found the net in all five of their recent home matches, though they have kept just one clean sheet during that same span. Form is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Yeovil win

Latest market chance 43.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

43.6% → 43.9%

+0.3 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.3% → 24.1%

−0.2 pts

Worthing win

Latest market chance 32.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

32.1% → 32.0%

−0.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Yeovil

Draw

Worthing

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Yeovil

Worthing

Season Profile

This season

6th

League Position

9th

Games Played

1.80

Points/Game

1.70

1.90

Goals/Game

1.90

1.40

Conceded/Game

1.60

8.4

Shots/Game

10.1

4.9

Shots on Target

6.0

Home vs Away Context

Yeovil at home (7 matches) vs Worthing away (6 matches)

2.00

Points/Game

1.83

2.71

Goals/Game

2.17

1.29

Conceded/Game

1.67

57%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Yeovil

Home form

Won 3 of last 5 at home

2.4

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Worthing

Away form

Won 2 of last 4 away

Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Worthing.

2.5

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/4

Scored in
last 4

0/4

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Yeovil and Worthing.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Yeovil

Worthing

Recent Scoring Profile

1.90

Goals scored / game

1.90

1.40

Goals conceded / game

1.60

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

0/10

Failed to Score

0/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

62.4%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

41.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

64.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 61.5%→Latest 62.4%+0.9 pts

Slight move towards 3+ goals

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 63.7%→Latest 64.2%+0.5 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Yeovil vs Worthing Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis