Bournemouth vs Sunderland Head to Head, Prediction
Vitality Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.81
Draw
3.98
Away Win
4.72
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bournemouth edge attack and defence, Sunderland edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Bournemouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sunderland stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 28 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bournemouth win
Latest market chance 54.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.3% → 54.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.7%
±0.0 pts
Sunderland win
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.0% → 21.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bournemouth
Draw
Sunderland
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 28 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BournemouthSunderland
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
14th
5
Games Played
5
0.60
Points/Game
0.80
1.20
Goals/Game
1.20
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.6
Shots/Game
13.2
5.2
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Bournemouth at home (3 matches) vs Sunderland away (3 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bournemouth
Home form
W
D
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sunderland
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bournemouth Wins
1
Draws
2
Sunderland Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Bournemouth1 – 1Sunderland
Sunderland3 – 2Bournemouth
Sunderland0 – 1Bournemouth
Bournemouth1 – 2Sunderland
Sunderland1 – 1Bournemouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bournemouthvs
Sunderland
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Bournemouth's 10 matches and 5 of Sunderland's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?