Brentford vs Sunderland Head to Head, Prediction
Brentford Community Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.03
Away Win
5.45
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Brentford
Sunderland
14'
🟨 Noah Sadiki
Mamadou Sangare 🟨
30'
V. Janelt ⚽
57'
Vitaly Janelt 🟨
62'
Yehor Yarmoliuk 🟨
69'
82'
⚽ (P) E. Le Fee
88'
🟨 Granit Xhaka
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
19
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Brentford (4-2-3-1)
C. Kelleher
M. Kayode
K. Ajer
N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter
M. Sangare
V. Janelt
D. Ouattara
M. Damsgaard
K. Schade
I. Thiago
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
R. Roefs
N. Mukiele
K. Danso
D. Ballard
R. Mandava
G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki
T. Meunier
E. Le Fee
N. Angulo
B. Brobbey
Player Ratings ?
Brentford
Vitaly JaneltM8.0
Mikkel DamsgaardM7.5
Igor ThiagoF7.3
Sunderland
Robin RoefsG7.5
Daniel BallardD7.5
Enzo Le FéeM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Brentford edge defence and head-to-head, Sunderland edge recent form, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sunderland stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Brentford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brentford stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Brentford
Brentford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Brentford win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Brentford win
Latest market chance 57.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
56.7% → 57.9%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.6% → 24.3%
−0.3 pts
Sunderland win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.7% → 17.8%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Brentford
Draw
Sunderland
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BrentfordSunderland
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
12th
2
Games Played
2
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.2
Shots/Game
13.2
4.6
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Brentford at home (3 matches) vs Sunderland away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.33
2.33
Goals/Game
1.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Brentford
Home form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sunderland
Away form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Brentford Wins
2
Draws
1
Sunderland Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.5
Brentford3 – 0Sunderland
Sunderland2 – 1Brentford
Sunderland0 – 2Brentford
Brentford3 – 3Sunderland
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Brentfordvs
Sunderland
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 51.7%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 52.0%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Brentford's 10 matches and 8 of Sunderland's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?