Coventry vs Brighton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Coventry Building Society Arena
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.95
Draw
3.78
Away Win
1.93
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 5
Match Events ?
Coventry
Brighton
35'
⚽ Charalampos Kostoulas (Pascal Groß)
51'
⚽ Malick Yalcouyé (Maxim De Cuyper)
Taiwo Awoniyi 🟥
53'
70'
⚽ (P) Pascal Groß
83'
⚽ Lewis Dunk (Chema Andrés)
90+4'
⚽ Yasin Ayari (Pascal Groß)
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
14
Total Shots
22
6
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Coventry (3-4-2-1)
C. Rushworth
A. Amenda
B. Thomas
E. Pinnock
M. van Ewijk
F. Onyeka
M. Grimes
J. Dasilva
J. Rudoni
E. Mason-Clark
T. Awoniyi
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
B. Verbruggen
F. Kadıoğlu
L. Vušković
L. Dunk
O. Boscagli
P. Groß
Y. Ayari
D. Gómez
M. Yalcouyé
M. De Cuyper
C. Kostoulas
Player Ratings ?
Coventry
B. Thomas-AsanteF6.7
S. CherifF6.4
J. RudoniM6.3
Brighton
B. VerbruggenG9.0
P. GroßM8.6
M. YalcouyéM8.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Coventry edge head-to-head, Brighton edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Coventry stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Brighton have recorded just one win and a single draw in their last five away outings, while Coventry have secured two victories from their most recent five home fixtures. Coventry have scored in just two of their last five home matches but have kept three clean sheets during that same period. There are four players unavailable for Coventry and eight missing from Brighton's squad ahead of this Premier League encounter. Brighton rate stronger on form and attack, while Coventry rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2011. Over the 13-day comparison window, Coventry's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Brighton's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Brighton
Brighton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Brighton win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Coventry win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
21.8% → 24.9%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 25.4%
+0.4 pts
Brighton win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.2% → 49.7%
−3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Coventry
Draw
Brighton
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CoventryBrighton
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
12th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
1.33
0.00
Goals/Game
2.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
10.2
Shots/Game
19.0
3.2
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Coventry at home (2 matches) vs Brighton away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.50
0.00
Goals/Game
4.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Coventry
Home form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brighton
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Coventry Wins
3
Draws
1
Brighton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Coventry2 – 0Brighton
Brighton2 – 1Coventry
Coventry2 – 0Brighton
Brighton2 – 2Coventry
Coventry2 – 1Brighton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Coventryvs
Brighton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 55.0%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 57.6%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
7 of Coventry's 10 matches and 7 of Brighton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?