Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Selhurst Park
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.66
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.72
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nott'm Forest a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nott'm Forest have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Crystal Palace have failed to win in any of their last five home outings. Crystal Palace have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Nott'm Forest rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 28-day comparison window, Crystal Palace's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points, while Nott'm Forest's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nott'm Forest a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Crystal Palace
No current absences reported
Nott'm Forest
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nott'm Forest win as more likely than it did 28 days ago. Crystal Palace remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crystal Palace win
Latest market chance 35.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
37.4% → 35.6%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.3% → 28.8%
−1.5 pts
Nott'm Forest win
Latest market chance 35.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.3% → 35.6%
+3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crystal Palace
Draw
Nott'm Forest
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 28 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crystal PalaceNott'm Forest
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
13th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.00
1.20
Goals/Game
0.80
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.6
Shots/Game
16.4
3.6
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Crystal Palace at home (2 matches) vs Nott'm Forest away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
2.00
3.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crystal Palace
Home form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crystal Palace Wins
0
Draws
4
Nott'm Forest Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Nott'm Forest1 – 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace1 – 1Nott'm Forest
Crystal Palace1 – 1Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest1 – 0Crystal Palace
Nott'm Forest1 – 1Crystal Palace
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crystal Palacevs
Nott'm Forest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.4%→Latest 47.1%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.8%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Crystal Palace's 10 matches and 5 of Nott'm Forest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?