Everton vs Chelsea Head to Head, Prediction
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.30
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.26
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Everton edge recent form, attack and defence, Chelsea edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Everton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chelsea stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Everton win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 29.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.6%
±0.0 pts
Chelsea win
Latest market chance 43.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.5% → 43.5%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Everton
Draw
Chelsea
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EvertonChelsea
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
1.40
1.20
Goals/Game
2.00
0.60
Conceded/Game
2.40
16.0
Shots/Game
14.4
4.6
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Everton at home (3 matches) vs Chelsea away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Everton
Home form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Chelsea
Away form
D
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Everton Wins
1
Draws
1
Chelsea Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Everton3 – 0Chelsea
Chelsea2 – 0Everton
Chelsea1 – 0Everton
Everton0 – 0Chelsea
Chelsea6 – 0Everton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Evertonvs
Chelsea
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 60.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Everton's 10 matches and 5 of Chelsea's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?