Everton vs Man United Head to Head, Prediction
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.39
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.14
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Everton
Man United
Harrison Armstrong 🟨
13'
Brennan Johnson 🟨
34'
46'
⚽ B. Mbeumo (K. Mainoo)
62'
🟨 Luke Shaw
Merlin Röhl 🟨
64'
79'
🟨 Harry Maguire
81'
🟨 Diogo Dalot
T. George (H. Hackney) ⚽
83'
88'
⚽ B. Sesko (L. Shaw)
A. Maitland-Niles ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
18
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
7
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1)
J. Pickford
M. Rohl
J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall
T. George
T. Barry
Man United (4-2-3-1)
S. Lammens
D. Dalot
H. Maguire
L. Martinez
L. Shaw
K. Mainoo
Y. Tielemans
B. Mbeumo
B. Fernandes
M. Rashford
M. Cunha
Player Ratings ?
Everton
Tyrique GeorgeM8.3
Jack GrealishM7.3
James TarkowskiD7.2
Man United
Kobbie MainooM7.7
Luke ShawD7.2
Benjamin ŠeškoF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man United
Man United rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Man United a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man United stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Man United
Man United's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Man United win as more likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Everton win
Latest market chance 28.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.1% → 28.8%
−3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 26.8%
−0.7 pts
Man United win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
40.4% → 44.5%
+4.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Everton
Draw
Man United
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EvertonMan United
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
2
Games Played
2
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.50
Goals/Game
2.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
16.0
Shots/Game
22.6
4.6
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Everton at home (3 matches) vs Man United away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.67
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Everton
Home form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Man United
Away form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Everton Wins
1
Draws
1
Man United Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Everton0 – 1Man United
Man United0 – 1Everton
Everton2 – 2Man United
Man United4 – 0Everton
Man United2 – 0Everton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Evertonvs
Man United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 56.2%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 59.6%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
8 of Everton's 10 matches and 8 of Man United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?