Hull vs Aston Villa Head to Head, Prediction
MKM Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.17
Draw
3.71
Away Win
1.90
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Hull
Aston Villa
Semi Ajayi 🟨
39'
Lucas Gourna-Douath 🟨
67'
Match Statistics ?
26%
Ball Possession
74%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Hull (5-4-1)
K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle
S. Ajayi
J. Egan
N. Mendy
R. Giles
M. Belloumi
R. Slater
L. Gourna-Douath
E. Stroud
O. McBurnie
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Z. Suzuki
M. Cash
V. Lindelof
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
B. Kamara
R. Barkley
J. McGinn
E. Buendia
G. Hemmings
N. Jackson
Player Ratings ?
Hull
Konstantinos TzolakisG7.2
John EganD7.2
Ryan GilesD7.2
Aston Villa
Zion SuzukiG7.9
Victor LindelöfD7.9
Tyrone MingsD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aston Villa edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aston Villa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aston Villa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Aston Villa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aston Villa stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hull win
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.4% → 23.1%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.3%
+0.3 pts
Aston Villa win
Latest market chance 50.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.6% → 50.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hull
Draw
Aston Villa
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HullAston Villa
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
19th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.50
Goals/Game
0.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
12.2
Shots/Game
9.6
3.8
Shots on Target
2.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Hull at home (2 matches) vs Aston Villa away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hull
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aston Villa
Away form
D
L
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hull Wins
1
Draws
3
Aston Villa Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Aston Villa2 – 2Hull
Hull1 – 3Aston Villa
Hull0 – 0Aston Villa
Aston Villa1 – 1Hull
Hull2 – 0Aston Villa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hullvs
Aston Villa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.0%→Latest 50.3%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Hull's 10 matches and 8 of Aston Villa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?