Ipswich vs Fulham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Portman Road
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.74
Draw
3.61
Away Win
2.55
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ipswich edge attack, Fulham edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Ipswich slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fulham have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away fixtures, while Ipswich sit at the opposite end of the scale with just a solitary victory from their home outings over the same span. At home, Ipswich have managed to find the net in only two of their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Ipswich hold a slight advantage in attack, while Fulham rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 5 January 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 27-day comparison window, Ipswich's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Fulham's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
50%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
3
Ipswich points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Ipswich
No current absences reported
Fulham
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Ipswich
Ipswich's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ipswich win as more likely than it did 27 days ago. Fulham remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.2% → 34.9%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.5%
−0.2 pts
Fulham win
Latest market chance 37.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.2% → 37.6%
−2.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
23 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ipswich
Draw
Fulham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ipswich
Fulham
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
19th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
0.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.60
11.6
Shots/Game
14.4
4.6
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Ipswich at home (2 matches) vs Fulham away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ipswich
Home form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Fulham
Away form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ipswich Wins
0
Draws
2
Fulham Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
2025-01-052024-2025
Fulham2 – 2Ipswich
2024-08-312024-2025
Ipswich1 – 1Fulham
2018-01-022017-2018
Fulham4 – 1Ipswich
2017-08-262017-2018
Ipswich0 – 2Fulham
2017-04-082016-2017
Fulham3 – 1Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ipswich
vs
Fulham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 53.9%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 27 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 58.2%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 27 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Ipswich's 10 matches and 5 of Fulham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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