Nott'm Forest vs Coventry Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
City Ground
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.01
Away Win
5.52
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Nott'm Forest
Coventry
55'
⚽ Jay Dasilva (Carl Rushworth)
Liam Delap 🟨
59'
Jair Cunha 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
24
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Nott'm Forest (3-4-2-1)
M. Sels
Jair
O. Diomande
Murillo
D. Muñoz
X. Schlager
J. McAtee
N. Williams
D. Ndoye
M. Gibbs-White
L. Delap
Coventry (3-4-2-1)
C. Rushworth
S. Mfuni
B. Thomas
E. Pinnock
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
F. Onyeka
M. Grimes
J. Dasilva
J. Rudoni
E. Mason-Clark
B. Thomas-Asante
Player Ratings ?
Nott'm Forest
MurilloD7.4
M. Gibbs-WhiteM7.2
N. WilliamsM6.9
Coventry
J. DasilvaM7.7
B. ThomasD7.2
E. Mason-ClarkM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nott'm Forest a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Coventry arrive with a poor away record of five straight defeats in their last outings, while Nott'm Forest have been more resilient at home with just one loss and three draws from the same number of matches. At the ground, Nott'm Forest have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Nott'm Forest face some selection questions with two confirmed absences and one player in doubt, whereas Coventry have five players unavailable for their upcoming campaign. Nott'm Forest rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Nott'm Forest won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 6 April 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Coventry's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Nott'm Forest's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points, while Coventry's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nott'm Forest a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Coventry losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Coventry points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nott'm Forest win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nott'm Forest win
Latest market chance 58.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
53.9% → 58.0%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.2% → 24.0%
−1.2 pts
Coventry win
Latest market chance 17.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
20.9% → 17.9%
−3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nott'm Forest
Draw
Coventry
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nott'm ForestCoventry
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
20th
4
Games Played
4
1.25
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
16.4
Shots/Game
10.2
3.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Nott'm Forest at home (3 matches) vs Coventry away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
0.00
Goals/Game
0.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nott'm Forest
Home form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Coventry
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nott'm Forest Wins
4
Draws
0
Coventry Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Nott'm Forest2 – 0Coventry
Coventry2 – 1Nott'm Forest
Coventry1 – 2Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest2 – 1Coventry
Nott'm Forest2 – 0Coventry
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nott'm Forestvs
Coventry
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/10
Failed to Score
7/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 52.4%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Nott'm Forest's 10 matches and 6 of Coventry's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?