Tottenham vs Everton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.03
Draw
3.70
Away Win
3.67
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Tottenham
Everton
68'
🟨 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
84'
🟨 James Garner
Roberto De Zerbi 🟨
87'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
A. Kinský
A. Gray
J. van Hecke
M. van de Ven
A. Robertson
R. Bentancur
S. Tonali
Sávio
Mateus Fernandes
Omar Marmoush
D. Solanke
Everton (4-2-3-1)
J. Pickford
A. Maitland-Niles
J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George
T. Barry
Player Ratings ?
Tottenham
A. RobertsonD7.3
S. TonaliM7.2
A. KinskýG7.2
Everton
J. BranthwaiteD7.2
A. Maitland-NilesD7.1
J. TarkowskiD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tottenham edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Everton edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Everton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Everton have drawn three and lost two in their last five away outings, while Tottenham have recorded just one win from two defeats and two draws at home over the same span. At home, Spurs have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet across that identical sample period. Tottenham rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Everton rate stronger on attack. Tottenham won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 24 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Everton's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Tottenham's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Everton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Tottenham
Tottenham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Tottenham win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tottenham win
Latest market chance 47.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
46.3% → 47.2%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 26.6%
−0.6 pts
Everton win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.2%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tottenham
Draw
Everton
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TottenhamEverton
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
3
0.33
Points/Game
1.67
0.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.2
Shots/Game
16.0
3.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Tottenham at home (3 matches) vs Everton away (2 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
0.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tottenham
Home form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Everton
Away form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tottenham Wins
3
Draws
1
Everton Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Tottenham1 – 0Everton
Everton0 – 3Tottenham
Everton3 – 2Tottenham
Tottenham4 – 0Everton
Everton2 – 2Tottenham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tottenhamvs
Everton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 50.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Tottenham's 10 matches and 7 of Everton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?