Estrela vs Famalicao Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.04
Draw
3.13
Away Win
2.57
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Estrela
Famalicao
2'
⚽ Georgios Koutsias (Mathias De Amorim)
Max Scholze 🟨
29'
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 🟨
53'
Leandro Antonetti (Beni Souza) ⚽
57'
66'
🟨 Marcos Peña
Max Scholze ⚽
69'
80'
⚽ (P) Georgios Koutsias
90'
🟨 Leny Remo Meyer
Pedro Miguel Marques da Costa Filipe 🟥
90+4'
David Grilo 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
14
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Estrela (4-2-3-1)
Leo Linck
M. Scholze
Luan Patrick
S. Lekovic
Rafa Soares
G. Doue
E. Pedro Vanga
A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica
L. Antonetti
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
L. Carevic
R. Pinheiro
L. Realpe
F. van Breemen
Pedro Bondo
M. De Amorim
M. Pena
R. Beney
P. Moreira
Sorriso
G. Koutsias
Player Ratings ?
Estrela
L. AntonettiF8.2
M. ScholzeD6.9
S. LekovićD6.8
Famalicao
G. KoutsiasF8.2
Óscar ArandaF7.1
U. AbubakarF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Estrela edge attack and head-to-head, Famalicao edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Famalicao stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Estrela slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Famalicao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Estrela stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Estrela
Estrela's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Estrela win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Famalicao remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Estrela win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.3% → 31.8%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.3% → 30.4%
+0.1 pts
Famalicao win
Latest market chance 37.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.4% → 37.9%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Estrela
Draw
Famalicao
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EstrelaFamalicao
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
14th
3
Games Played
4
1.67
Points/Game
0.50
2.33
Goals/Game
0.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.1
Shots/Game
9.6
4.6
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Estrela at home (4 matches) vs Famalicao away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
1.60
1.50
Goals/Game
2.20
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.80
25%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Estrela
Home form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Famalicao
Away form
D
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Estrela Wins
1
Draws
3
Famalicao Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Estrela0 – 0Famalicao
Famalicao2 – 3Estrela
Famalicao0 – 0Estrela
Estrela0 – 3Famalicao
Famalicao0 – 0Estrela
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Estrelavs
Famalicao
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.3%→Latest 43.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Estrela's 10 matches and 6 of Famalicao's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?