Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.56
Draw
4.44
Away Win
1.56
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Famalicao
Sp Lisbon
Gil Dias 🟨
45+1'
73'
🟨 Geny Catamo
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura 🟨
78'
Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal 🟨
80'
81'
⚽ (P) Luis Suárez
86'
🟨 Luis Suárez
Roméo Beney 🟥
87'
90'
🟨 Nestory Irankunda
Gonçalo Inácio ⚽ (OG)
90+1'
90+7'
🟨 Iván Fresneda
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
5
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
L. Carević
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Víctor Rofino
F. van Breemen
Pedro Francisco
Mathias De Amorim
Marcos Peña
Gil Dias
Tamás Szücs
Sorriso
G. Koutsias
Sp Lisbon (4-2-3-1)
Rui Silva
Iván Fresneda
Z. Debast
Gonçalo Inácio
M. Araújo
Sergi Altimira
I. Doumbia
Geny Catamo
Flávio Gonçalves
Luis Guilherme
L. Suárez
Player Ratings ?
Famalicao
Víctor RofinoD7.0
U. AbubakarF6.8
Óscar ArandaF6.7
Sp Lisbon
Sergi AltimiraM7.3
Z. DebastD7.2
L. SuárezF7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Sp Lisbon an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sp Lisbon have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, whereas Famalicao have been more cautious at home with just one victory, three draws and a single defeat in the same span. At home, Famalicao have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Sp Lisbon rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Sp Lisbon won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Famalicao's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Famalicao's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Sp Lisbon's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Sp Lisbon.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
60%
Famalicao yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sp Lisbon win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Famalicao win
Latest market chance 16.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
20.9% → 16.6%
−4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.3% → 22.3%
−1.0 pts
Sp Lisbon win
Latest market chance 61.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
55.8% → 61.1%
+5.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Famalicao
Draw
Sp Lisbon
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FamalicaoSp Lisbon
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
5
0.60
Points/Game
2.60
0.80
Goals/Game
2.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
9.6
Shots/Game
13.4
3.4
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Famalicao at home (3 matches) vs Sp Lisbon away (3 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.67
0.67
Goals/Game
2.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Famalicao
Home form
D
D
W
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sp Lisbon
Away form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Famalicao Wins
0
Draws
0
Sp Lisbon Wins
5
Avg Goals
2.4
Sp Lisbon1 – 0Famalicao
Famalicao1 – 2Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon3 – 1Famalicao
Famalicao0 – 3Sp Lisbon
Famalicao0 – 1Sp Lisbon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Famalicaovs
Sp Lisbon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 51.9%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 49.8%−3.7 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Famalicao's 10 matches and 5 of Sp Lisbon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?