Gil Vicente vs Maritimo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.48
Away Win
4.22
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Gil Vicente
Maritimo
Murilo Souza (Gil Pinto Martins) ⚽
7'
Santiago García González 🟨
54'
56'
🟨 Rodri Andrade
90+3'
⚽ Israel Isaac Ayuma (Maurice Boakye)
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Gil Vicente (4-2-3-1)
Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu
David Moreira
A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Murilo
Santi García
Gil Pinto Martins
Héctor Hernández
Maritimo (4-2-3-1)
Fran Vieites
Igor Julião
Romain Correia
G. Szalai
Paulo Henrique
Rodrigo Andrade
V. Danilović
M. Dominguez
Raphael Guzzo
Martín Tejón
Adrián Butzke
Player Ratings ?
Gil Vicente
MuriloM8.0
Gil Pinto MartinsM7.5
Diogo Ferreira PriosteM7.5
Maritimo
I. AyumaM8.0
Maurice Osei BoakyeF6.9
Romain CorreiaD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gil Vicente edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gil Vicente slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Gil Vicente stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gil Vicente stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Maritimo have struggled in their last five away outings with four defeats and just a solitary win, whereas Gil Vicente boast three victories from their most recent five home matches. Gil Vicente have scored in four of their last five home fixtures while also keeping two clean sheets during that same span. Gil Vicente rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack is closely matched. Gil Vicente won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 5 March 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Maritimo's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Gil Vicente's implied win probability has risen by 5.9 percentage points, while Maritimo's implied win probability has fallen by 4.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Maritimo points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gil Vicente win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gil Vicente win
Latest market chance 48.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
42.8% → 48.7%
+5.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.9% → 28.3%
−1.6 pts
Maritimo win
Latest market chance 23.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.3% → 23.0%
−4.3 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Gil VicenteMaritimo
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
12th
5
Games Played
7
1.40
Points/Game
1.00
0.80
Goals/Game
1.14
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.00
14.0
Shots/Game
10.4
3.8
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Gil Vicente at home (5 matches) vs Maritimo away (6 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.83
1.00
Goals/Game
1.17
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.83
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gil Vicente
Home form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Maritimo
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gil Vicente Wins
4
Draws
1
Maritimo Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Gil Vicente2 – 0Maritimo
Maritimo1 – 2Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente1 – 1Maritimo
Maritimo1 – 2Gil Vicente
Maritimo0 – 1Gil Vicente
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gil Vicentevs
Maritimo
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 39.7%→Latest 41.8%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 46.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Gil Vicente's 10 matches and 3 of Maritimo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?