Maritimo vs Benfica Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
10.19
Draw
6.00
Away Win
1.25
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Maritimo
Benfica
7'
⚽ L. Barreiro
Vladan Danilović 🟨
40'
41'
🟨 Georgiy Sudakov
Igor Julião 🟨
42'
61'
🟨 Tomás Araújo
66'
🟨 Alessandro Circati
71'
⚽ L. Barreiro (V. Pavlidis)
82'
⚽ G. Prestianni
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
6
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
5
22
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Maritimo (4-3-3)
A. Pastor
Igor Juliao
R. Fernandes
R. Correia
P. Henrique
Raphael Guzzo
R. Andrade
V. Danilovic
B. Limbombe
A. Butzke
M. Tejon
Benfica (4-2-3-1)
S. Soares
A. Bah
T. Araujo
C. Lenglet
S. Dahl
L. Barreiro
J. Palhinha
Rafa Silva
G. Sudakov
G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis
Player Ratings ?
Maritimo
Martín TejónF7.2
Adrián ButzkeF6.7
Igor JuliãoD6.5
Benfica
Leandro BarreiroM9.0
Gianluca PrestianniM8.0
Clément LengletD7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benfica
Benfica rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Benfica an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Maritimo win
Latest market chance 8.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
8.9% → 8.6%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.5% → 16.4%
−0.1 pts
Benfica win
Latest market chance 75.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
74.6% → 75.0%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Maritimo
Draw
Benfica
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MaritimoBenfica
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
4
Games Played
3
1.75
Points/Game
2.33
1.50
Goals/Game
3.67
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.4
Shots/Game
19.1
3.1
Shots on Target
7.1
Home vs Away Context
Maritimo at home (3 matches) vs Benfica away (4 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.25
1.00
Goals/Game
3.75
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.75
33%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Maritimo
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Benfica
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Maritimo Wins
0
Draws
0
Benfica Wins
5
Avg Goals
3.6
Maritimo0 – 3Benfica
Benfica5 – 0Maritimo
Maritimo0 – 1Benfica
Benfica7 – 1Maritimo
Benfica1 – 0Maritimo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Maritimovs
Benfica
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 60.1%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 46.4%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Maritimo's 10 matches and 7 of Benfica's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?