Rio Ave vs Nacional Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.25
Away Win
3.19
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rio Ave edge recent form, Nacional edge head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rio Ave slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nacional stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nacional have secured just one victory and one draw from their last five away outings, while Rio Ave remain winless at home in three of their last five matches. Rio Ave have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Rio Ave hold a slight advantage in form, while Nacional rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Nacional won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 25 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Rio Ave's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
70%
Rio Ave yellow cards after 75'
2
Rio Ave points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Rio Ave
No current absences reported
Nacional
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Rio Ave win
41.5%
Draw
29.1%
Nacional win
29.4%
Based on 9 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
Rio AveNacional
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
0.56
Points/Game
0.44
0.89
Goals/Game
0.89
2.11
Conceded/Game
2.44
7.1
Shots/Game
10.7
2.6
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Rio Ave at home (4 matches) vs Nacional away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.33
1.50
Goals/Game
0.67
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rio Ave
Home form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nacional
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rio Ave Wins
2
Draws
2
Nacional Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Nacional4 – 0Rio Ave
Rio Ave1 – 1Nacional
Nacional3 – 3Rio Ave
Rio Ave2 – 1Nacional
Nacional1 – 2Rio Ave
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rio Avevs
Nacional
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
1 of Rio Ave's 10 matches and 1 of Nacional's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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