Santa Clara vs Rio Ave Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.53
Away Win
4.98
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Brenner (Vinicius Lopes) ⚽
3'
T. Ribeiro (G. Paciencia) ⚽
47'
Vinicius Lopes ⚽
52'
83'
🟨 Tamás Nikitscher
Daniel Borges 🟨
84'
Fernando ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Santa Clara (4-3-3)
Lucas Franca
Lucas Soares
P. Pacheco
E. Fernandes
Guilherme Romao
J. Tavares
P. Ferreira
T. Ribeiro
Vinicius Lopes
G. Paciencia
Brenner
Rio Ave (4-2-3-1)
E. van der Gouw
G. Liavas
F. Petrasso
Gustavo Mancha
M. Vrousai
T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi
Diogo Bezerra
J. Blesa
D. Spikic
Tamble
Player Ratings ?
Santa Clara
Vinícius LopesF9.5
BrennerF8.2
Lucas SoaresD7.7
Rio Ave
Jalen BlesaM6.6
Tamblé MonteiroF6.6
Ennio Van Der GouwG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Santa Clara edge recent form, attack and defence, Rio Ave edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rio Ave stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Santa Clara
Santa Clara's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Santa Clara win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Santa Clara win
Latest market chance 53.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
52.3% → 53.2%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.1%
±0.0 pts
Rio Ave win
Latest market chance 19.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.5% → 19.7%
−0.8 pts
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Santa ClaraRio Ave
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
4
Games Played
4
2.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.25
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
13.1
Shots/Game
7.1
3.7
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Santa Clara at home (4 matches) vs Rio Ave away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.60
1.75
Goals/Game
0.40
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.40
50%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Santa Clara
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rio Ave
Away form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Santa Clara Wins
1
Draws
2
Rio Ave Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Santa Clara0 – 2Rio Ave
Rio Ave1 – 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave1 – 1Santa Clara
Santa Clara1 – 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara0 – 2Rio Ave
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Santa Claravs
Rio Ave
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.0%→Latest 43.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.0%→Latest 46.4%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Santa Clara's 10 matches and 6 of Rio Ave's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?