Sp Braga vs Guimaraes Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 20:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.72
Away Win
4.99
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
4'
🟨 Óscar Rivas
Demir Ege Tıknaz 🟨
37'
53'
🟨 Tony Strata
None ⚽
54'
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
67'
74'
🟨 Gustavo Silva
D. Rodrigues (Gabriel Silva) ⚽
79'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
9
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sp Braga (3-4-2-1)
Bernardo
G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho
Sergio Barcia
V. Gomez
D. E. Tiknaz
J. Moutinho
Travassos
M. Dorgeles
Gabriel Silva
P. Victor
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
O. Zych
T. Strata
O. Rivas Viondi
Thiago Balieiro
J. Mendes
G. Nogueira
L. Doucet
Gustavo
Samu
M. Nogueira
A. Ndoye
Player Ratings ?
Sp Braga
Diego RodriguesM7.9
Gabriel SilvaF7.6
Vítor CarvalhoD7.2
Guimaraes
Oliwier ZychG7.3
Lohann DoucetM6.7
Gustavo SilvaM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sp Braga edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Braga slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Braga win
Latest market chance 54.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.4% → 54.1%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.9%
+0.2 pts
Guimaraes win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 20.0%
+0.1 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp BragaGuimaraes
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
11th
1
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.5
Shots/Game
19.1
4.3
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Sp Braga at home (3 matches) vs Guimaraes away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Braga
Home form
L
W
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Guimaraes
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sp Braga Wins
2
Draws
2
Guimaraes Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Sp Braga3 – 2Guimaraes
Guimaraes1 – 1Sp Braga
Guimaraes0 – 0Sp Braga
Sp Braga0 – 2Guimaraes
Guimaraes2 – 3Sp Braga
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Bragavs
Guimaraes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.5%→Latest 49.9%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 51.4%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
9 of Sp Braga's 10 matches and 7 of Guimaraes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?