Dunfermline vs Queens Park Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
East End Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.48
Away Win
6.72
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Dunfermline
Queens Park
J. Cooper (D. Lobban) ⚽
7'
18'
🟨 N. Todorov
R. MacLeod ⚽
28'
49'
🟨 S. Martin
R. MacLeod 🟨
58'
A. Amade 🟨
61'
A. Tod 🟨
72'
S. Cleall-Harding 🟨
84'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dunfermline
Dunfermline rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Dunfermline a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Queens Park have drawn four of their last five away outings across seasons, while Dunfermline have won two and drawn two of their last five home fixtures. At home, Dunfermline have scored in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during the same period. Dunfermline rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Dunfermline won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Queens Park's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Dunfermline a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Queens Park losing run
67%
Queens Park yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Dunfermline
Dunfermline's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dunfermline win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunfermline win
Latest market chance 64.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
60.3% → 64.5%
+4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.4% → 21.6%
−1.8 pts
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 14.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
16.3% → 14.0%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dunfermline
Draw
Queens Park
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunfermlineQueens Park
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
0.80
0.60
Goals/Game
0.60
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
11.7
Shots/Game
5.4
4.6
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Dunfermline at home (3 matches) vs Queens Park away (4 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.25
1.33
Goals/Game
0.25
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dunfermline
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Queens Park
Away form
D
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunfermline Wins
3
Draws
2
Queens Park Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.2
Queens Park0 – 2Dunfermline
Dunfermline1 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park1 – 1Dunfermline
Dunfermline0 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park0 – 1Dunfermline
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunfermlinevs
Queens Park
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
5/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 52.8%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.9%→Latest 48.6%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Dunfermline's 10 matches and 5 of Queens Park's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?