Inverness C vs Morton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.36
Draw
4.84
Away Win
8.39
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Inverness C
Morton
P. Allan ⚽
26'
48'
🟨 L. Fairnie
59'
🟨 I. Wilson
A. Bavidge ⚽
66'
A. Mackinnon 🟨
90+4'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inverness C
Inverness C rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Inverness C a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Morton arrive at Inverness C having endured a difficult away run with just one draw and four losses from their last five outings, while the hosts have been more competitive at home with one win and two draws recorded in that same span. Inverness C have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have managed just a single clean sheet across that identical period, suggesting an inconsistent offensive output and defensive vulnerability at this venue. Inverness C rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Inverness C won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 3 May 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Morton's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Inverness C's implied win probability has risen by 6.8 percentage points, while Morton's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Inverness C a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Morton losing run
50%
Inverness C yellow cards after 75'
1
Morton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Inverness C
Inverness C's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inverness C win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 68.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
62.1% → 68.9%
+6.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.3% → 20.2%
−3.1 pts
Morton win
Latest market chance 10.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
14.7% → 10.8%
−3.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inverness C
Draw
Morton
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inverness CMorton
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
0.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.57
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.86
8.6
Shots/Game
7.4
4.0
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Inverness C at home (4 matches) vs Morton away (4 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.25
0.75
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inverness C
Home form
L
W
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Morton
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inverness C Wins
3
Draws
1
Morton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Inverness C3 – 1Morton
Morton0 – 2Inverness C
Inverness C0 – 0Morton
Morton2 – 1Inverness C
Morton1 – 2Inverness C
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inverness Cvs
Morton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 53.0%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.4%→Latest 44.9%−3.5 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Inverness C's 10 matches and 3 of Morton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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