Inverness C vs Raith Rvs Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.21
Away Win
3.41
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Inverness C
Raith Rvs
11'
⚽ J. Robertson
48'
🟨 Z. Delaney
85'
⚽ J. Rowe (C. Telfer)
D. MacKay 🟨
90+4'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inverness C edge defence, Raith Rvs edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Raith Rvs win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Inverness C remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 40.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.8% → 40.9%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.4% → 28.9%
+0.5 pts
Raith Rvs win
Latest market chance 30.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.8% → 30.2%
−2.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inverness C
Draw
Raith Rvs
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inverness C
Raith Rvs
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
3rd
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
1.75
0.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
8.6
Shots/Game
9.7
4.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Inverness C at home (4 matches) vs Raith Rvs away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.20
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.60
25%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inverness C
Home form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Raith Rvs
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inverness C Wins
2
Draws
0
Raith Rvs Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2024-04-192023-2024
Inverness C0 – 1Raith Rvs
2024-01-272023-2024
Raith Rvs2 – 3Inverness C
2023-12-022023-2024
Inverness C1 – 2Raith Rvs
2023-09-162023-2024
Raith Rvs1 – 0Inverness C
2023-04-082022-2023
Inverness C2 – 0Raith Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inverness C
vs
Raith Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
70.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
45.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
25.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
51.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 45.6%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Inverness C's 10 matches and 6 of Raith Rvs's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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