Inverness C vs Stenhousemuir Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.77
Draw
3.56
Away Win
4.45
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Inverness C edge attack, giving Stenhousemuir a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inverness C slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stenhousemuir have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and a draw from their last four visits, while Inverness C have recorded two victories alongside two draws in their five home outings. At home, Inverness C have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed only two clean sheets during that same period. Stenhousemuir rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Inverness C hold a slight advantage in attack. Stenhousemuir won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 29 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Inverness C's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Stenhousemuir a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
53%
Inverness C yellow cards after 75'
10
Stenhousemuir points from last 4 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 52.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.4% → 52.6%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.1%
+0.1 pts
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.3%
−0.3 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inverness C
Stenhousemuir
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
1st
8
Games Played
8
1.25
Points/Game
2.75
1.12
Goals/Game
1.50
1.12
Conceded/Game
0.25
8.6
Shots/Game
7.1
4.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Inverness C at home (4 matches) vs Stenhousemuir away (4 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.50
0.75
Goals/Game
1.25
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.25
25%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inverness C
Home form
W
D
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Stenhousemuir
Away form
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Stenhousemuir.
1.25
Goals scored
per match
0.25
Goals conceded
per match
4/4
Scored in
last 4
3/4
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inverness C Wins
0
Draws
2
Stenhousemuir Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-08-292026-2027
Stenhousemuir3 – 1Inverness C
2026-04-112025-2026
Stenhousemuir1 – 1Inverness C
2026-02-212025-2026
Inverness C1 – 1Stenhousemuir
2025-12-202025-2026
Stenhousemuir1 – 0Inverness C
2025-08-162025-2026
Inverness C1 – 2Stenhousemuir
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inverness C
vs
Stenhousemuir
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.25
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/8
6/10
Both Teams Scored
2/8
3/10
Failed to Score
0/8
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
70.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
46.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 46.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 48.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Stenhousemuir have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Inverness C's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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