Stenhousemuir vs Partick Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ochilview Park
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.75
Draw
3.88
Away Win
1.69
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Stenhousemuir
Partick
R. Meechan 🟨
40'
S. Young 🟨
54'
56'
🟨 D. O'Reilly
57'
🟨 B. McPherson
M. Anderson 🟨
70'
H. Kargbo (R. Meechan) ⚽
76'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stenhousemuir edge recent form and attack, Partick edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stenhousemuir slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Partick slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Partick have remained unbeaten in their last five away fixtures with just a solitary victory to their name, while Stenhousemuir sit undefeated in their opening two home matches of the campaign. The hosts have found the net in both of their recent home outings but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same short run. Stenhousemuir rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Partick hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2001. Over the 4-day comparison window, Stenhousemuir's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points, while Partick's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Partick
Partick's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Partick win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 19.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.1% → 19.4%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 24.8%
−0.3 pts
Partick win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
54.8% → 55.7%
+0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stenhousemuir
Draw
Partick
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StenhousemuirPartick
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
5
2.60
Points/Game
2.20
1.80
Goals/Game
1.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
0.20
7.1
Shots/Game
11.7
3.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Stenhousemuir at home (4 matches) vs Partick away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.75
Goals/Game
0.67
0.25
Conceded/Game
0.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stenhousemuir
Home form
W
W
Unbeaten in last 2 at home
Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for Stenhousemuir.
2.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Partick
Away form
D
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stenhousemuir Wins
3
Draws
0
Partick Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Partick4 – 0Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir2 – 0Partick
Partick3 – 0Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir4 – 0Partick
Stenhousemuir2 – 0Partick
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stenhousemuirvs
Partick
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded / game
0.50
1/5
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
2/5
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/5
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 50.2%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 51.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Stenhousemuir have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of Partick's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?