Airdrie Utd vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Albert Bartlett Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.09
Away Win
2.82
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Airdrie Utd
Alloa
L. McLeish (L. Gibson) ⚽
11'
C. Burnside 🟨
36'
S. Fisher 🟨
51'
52'
🟨 C. O'Donnell
77'
🟨 S. Hetherington
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Airdrie Utd edge head-to-head, Alloa edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alloa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alloa have secured just a solitary victory alongside one draw from their last five away fixtures, while Airdrie Utd remain winless at home with three draws and two defeats in that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five outings but have managed only a single clean sheet during that period. Alloa rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Airdrie Utd rate stronger on head-to-head. Airdrie Utd won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 1 April 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Alloa's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Airdrie Utd win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Airdrie Utd win
Latest market chance 37.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.5% → 37.9%
−2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.7% → 29.3%
+1.6 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 32.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
31.8% → 32.8%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Airdrie Utd
Draw
Alloa
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Airdrie UtdAlloa
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
0.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.17
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.50
8.0
Shots/Game
9.4
3.4
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Airdrie Utd at home (5 matches) vs Alloa away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.80
0.80
Goals/Game
0.80
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Airdrie Utd
Home form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
L
L
L
W
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Airdrie Utd Wins
4
Draws
0
Alloa Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Alloa0 – 1Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd4 – 0Alloa
Alloa2 – 0Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd2 – 0Alloa
Alloa0 – 2Airdrie Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Airdrie Utdvs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 48.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 53.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Airdrie Utd's 10 matches and 4 of Alloa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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