Cove Rangers vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Balmoral Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.84
Draw
3.27
Away Win
2.31
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Cove Rangers
Alloa
A. Lindo (C. Maguire) ⚽
31'
40'
🟨 C. O'Donnell
L. Bisland 🟨
43'
L. Bisland 🟨
58'
L. Bisland 🟥
58'
J. White 🟨
60'
74'
⚽ O. Foster (L. Rankin)
76'
🟨 O. Foster
Starting Lineups
Cove Rangers
R. Mutch
L. Bisland
J. Mercer
A. Lindo
R. Harrington
M. Barry
A. Darge
D. Ross
C. Maguire
J. White
J. Teasdale
Alloa
R. Stewart
O. Foster
S. Taggart
D. Devine
C. O'Donnell
S. Scougall
G. Marchant
S. Hetherington
B. Forbes
L. Rankin
K. Glasgow
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alloa edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alloa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Cove Rangers win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Alloa remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cove Rangers win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.8% → 32.6%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 28.4%
+0.7 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.5% → 39.0%
+1.5 pts
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cove Rangers
Alloa
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.60
0.60
Goals/Game
1.20
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.40
8.9
Shots/Game
9.4
4.0
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Cove Rangers at home (4 matches) vs Alloa away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.80
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.40
25%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cove Rangers
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cove Rangers Wins
0
Draws
3
Alloa Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-04-042025-2026
Cove Rangers0 – 1Alloa
2026-01-312025-2026
Alloa2 – 2Cove Rangers
2025-11-222025-2026
Cove Rangers0 – 0Alloa
2025-09-202025-2026
Alloa2 – 1Cove Rangers
2025-04-192024-2025
Cove Rangers1 – 1Alloa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cove Rangers
vs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
1/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 50.0%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 55.1%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Cove Rangers's 10 matches and 5 of Alloa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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