East Kilbride vs Airdrie Utd Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
K-Park Training Academy
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.91
Draw
4.04
Away Win
3.60
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. East Kilbride edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
East Kilbride slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Defence
East Kilbride slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
East Kilbride have secured three victories from their last four home outings, while Airdrie Utd have recorded two wins, a draw and two defeats across their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in three of their last four matches at home, though they have kept just one clean sheet during that same recent run. East Kilbride rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 1 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Kilbride win
Latest market chance 48.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.0% → 48.8%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.5%
±0.0 pts
Airdrie Utd win
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.7%
+0.2 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East KilbrideAirdrie Utd

Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.33
1.89
Goals/Game
0.78
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.22
9.4
Shots/Game
8.0
4.5
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
East Kilbride at home (4 matches) vs Airdrie Utd away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
2.75
Goals/Game
0.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

East Kilbride
Home form
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 4 at home
Limited history — only 4 home fixtures on record for East Kilbride.
2.75
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.75
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
1/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Airdrie Utd
Away form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
East Kilbride Wins
0
Draws
1
Airdrie Utd Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Airdrie Utd1 – 1East Kilbride
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Kilbridevs
Airdrie Utd

Recent Scoring Profile
1.89
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.33
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/9
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/9
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/9
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 55.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
East Kilbride have only 9 completed fixtures on record.
1 of Airdrie Utd's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?